Headed For The State Of The Union - Bush’s Last Stand Politically?
I’m headed to Washington to witness what may be the most uncomfortable environment yet for a President to deliver a State of the Union Address.
First of all, as the President prepared to speak to Congress and the nation, members of his own party are abandoning him daily on the plan to add troops in Iraq. And that is why the President will use everything he has at his disposal to once again argue his case. The greatest danger is that the ongoing war effort, with all of its frustrations and continued sacrifice, may have already swallowed up the final two years of his term in office.
Already the dissent over his leadership has caused a negative reaction to a new healthcare proposal. His idea: provide tax decuctions to those who purchase their own health insurance. But it comes with a price. Those individuals who spend extra to get the most expensive plans, would be taxed on insurance that goes over a certain amount. The plan is designed to offer incentives for those people who are uninsured to sign up for insurance. The plan is worth debating but it is unlikely that it will get a fair hearing in the Congress.
The President will also call for an extension of his tax cuts due to expire in 2010. That, in itself, is just for show. President Bush will not be in office in 2010. Congress will either delay action on this, or vote to rescind the cuts.
Where the President can make inroads is in his demeanor. Often cited as stubborn and not responsive to the public, Mr. Bush can go a long way in trying to resurrect confidence in him by being more conciliatory. Will he? History suggests not, but time is running out on his chances to permanently and positively influence the American way of life.
A final note. Although he will never use the words “global warming”, the President will make a concession to big business leaders by urging a faster transition to alternative fuels.
The most interesting part of the night are the firsts - the first woman Speaker to introduce a President, and the first time he has spoken to a Congress controlled by Democrats, a change in leadership that was brought about by his difficulties.
I’ll give you my impressions tomorrow.
You can give me yours.

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